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Showing posts with label cash buyers. Show all posts
Showing posts with label cash buyers. Show all posts

Friday, July 3, 2015

Evolution of Cash vs. Conventional vs. FHA in the Sacramento Real Estate Market

Just thought i'd post a quick blog today about the evolution of what types of buyers have been in the market over the past 5 years.  Let's take a quick look to see what happened, where we are at today and potentially what is to come in the near future.

Here's the percentages of sales according to the type of buyer.


As you can see from the chart, Cash sales were at a high in 2012-2013.  While FHA buyers were struggling at that time to get accepted offers and hit a low in 2013.  Since then, the cash buyers have slowed down a bit and that has allowed more opportunity for the FHA buyers to purchase more homes as well as more Conventional loan products have become available in the past three years.  SO you can see how more conventional sales are going through as well.

That's a MACRO look at the Sacramento REal Estate market, as a whole.  Lets now take a MICRO look at an individual neighborhood.  Let's look at my great neighborhood of College-Glen, near the American river and Watt ave.



As you can see, there are a few similarities but not much of a mirror image there.  This shows the difference in analyzing the market from a large scale and then from a small neighborhood perspective.  Looking at the county as a whole can give you a broad perspective but it really might not be exactly what is going on in your specific neighborhood.

Bottom line, most neighborhoods in the Sacramento Area are seeing more Conventional and FHA buyers purchasing homes than Cash buyers.  The biggest reason is that since home prices have increased over the past three years, the properties are no longer as good of deals for cash investors any more.

Connect with Doug Reynolds Real Estate via FacebookYouTube, and Follow his Blog.

clear skies,

Doug Reynolds

Realtor

916-494-8441



         

Wednesday, July 2, 2014

Cash Sales continue to decrease in Sacramento Real Estate


By now, we all know the stories of the major hedge-fund investors (cough, cough, Blackstone, cough) coming into the Sacramento Real Estate market and basically buying up everything they could at the end of 2012 and beginning of 2013.  Since the third quarter of 2013, the amount of cash sales has begun to decrease nearly each month and is slowly returning to "normal" levels.

From my calculations, the amount of cash sales in Sacramento County for June 2014 is about 17.7% of all the sales.  Last month they were around 20.5%.

So what does this mean??

It's good news for the first time home buyer.  As inventory has slowly been increasing this year, the level of cash buyer competition has been decreasing.  That makes it a little easier for FHA buyers and just buyers that need to use financing in general.  Why are there less cash buyers???  Well, prices have gone up significantly since the beginning of 2012.  With higher prices brings lower returns on their investments.  There are still areas that are having heavy cash investor influences still (Most homes in Elk Grove below $300k are still getting multiple cash offers) but for the most part, the cash buyers are sprinkled throughout the market.

I expect the overall volume of cash purchase to continue to decrease as we go through 2014 and probably reach a level of about 10% of sales at some point.


Connect with Doug Reynolds Real Estate via FacebookYouTube, and Follow his Blog.


clear skies,

Doug Reynolds

Realtor

916-494-8441



         

Thursday, August 15, 2013

The Sacramento Real Estate market continues to slowly shift...

...in favor of buyers.  I've been talking and writing about the shift that is going on since June.  The latest stats for Sacramento Real Estate just came out  and you guessed it, the shift is starting to show up in the numbers.

  • The inventory of available homes for sale has gone up the last two months and we are now at 1.3 months of inventory.  That's still an extremely low amount but it's 54% higher than the beginning of this year

Cash sales in Sacramento County through July 2013 - by Sacramento Appraisal Blog
Inventory has increased over the past several months and there has been less investors playing the market. Despite an uptick in sales in Q2 of 2013, for example, investors played a lesser percentage role in overall sales. For reference, there were 3831 sales in Sacramento County in Q1 2013 and 4748 sales in Q2 of 2013.
fha conventional cash stats sacramento county through july 2013 - by sacramento appraisal blog

What does this all mean???  
  • Seller's: Need to realize the crazy sellers market has gone away.  Sellers still have the upper hand due to low inventory but they need to really price the home Right from day one or they may be sitting on the market for a while.
  • Buyers: Things are getting better for you.  There's a little less competition and a little more homes to choose from.  Don't get wrong, there's still going to be multiple offers on homes that are priced right and show well BUT you are in a better position now than at the beginning of the year.  Inventory should be slowly going up as we head into the winter


clear skies,
Doug Reynolds
Realtor
916-494-8441
 
www.SellWithDoug.com
www.BHGshortsales.com
 

Tuesday, December 4, 2012

An appraisal problem you say??


Recent buyers of Sacramento homes know all to well the potential issues with appraisals.  The Sacramento market has been experiencing extremely low inventory, high buyer demand and with that multiple offers that create bidding wars.  The problem: if the buyer is getting a loan, the house has to appraise for the value.  In 2011 this was a HUGE problem.  As the market was trying to turn positive, the appraisers just did not have the comparable sales to justify the higher prices.  Things have improved in 2012 in Sacramento as cash buyers are supporting higher values and a new wrinkle this year.  Some buyers that are getting loans, are removing their appraisal contingency in their initial offer.  That means if the house appraises for less than they offered, they are willing to make up the difference with cash!  Here's a recent news article discussing the topic.  The Sacramento Market is ahead of most of the country in the turn around so this has to do with what was going on mostly last year but still a little bit now as well.

2012 Sacramento Real Estate is a seller's market - Doug Reynolds Real Estate

Appraisals draw fire as housing market remains uneven

 

When Cris Robinson put her Rancho Santa Margarita, Calif., townhouse on the market earlier this year, she noticed that the only nearby homes selling were foreclosures and short sales.
"There wasn't a single standard sale to (compare) me with," said Robinson, an equity seller.
Robinson said a buyer offered to pay $317,000, but the appraisal came in at $310,000 - the price at which another home in the neighborhood recently sold. That townhouse was the same model, Robinson said, but it was distressed and needed work. By contrast, her own place had thousands of dollars in custom upgrades, including travertine floors.
A homeowner looking askance at an appraisal is nothing new. But many Realtors also complain that lowball appraisals are hurting home sales.
The National Association of Realtors says a recent survey indicated that in some cases appraisals are lagging behind the recovering housing market. Appraisers aren't always familiar with neighborhoods, and some use foreclosures and short sales as comparable sales without adjusting for them.
Real estate agents note that the low inventory of homes for sale has created bidding wars for many homes, pushing prices higher than recent comparable sales.
In the national survey in September, 1 out of 3 Realtors said they had problems relating to home appraisals in the previous three months. Eleven percent of them said a contract was canceled because an appraised value came in below the price negotiated between the buyer and seller; 9 percent reported a contract was delayed; and 15 percent said a contract was renegotiated to a lower sales price as a result of a lower appraisal.
Appraisers say they don't set the value of a property; they reflect it. They say neither real estate agents nor homeowners are trained to appraise homes.
A nationwide appraisers' professional association, meanwhile, cites problems in the way appraisal management companies are assigning and paying appraisers. The appraisal management companies contend that their role is misunderstood.
Appraisers say they are the only people involved in real estate transactions who don't have a stake in the price of a property or whether it sells.
"We're there to protect the public trust," said Sara W. Stephens, president of the Appraisal Institute, the nation's largest association of real estate appraisers, addressing a group of real estate investors in Yorba Linda, Calif., last month.
Stephens testified before Congress in June, saying, "We often hear from real estate agents,homebuilders and others that appraisals are 'killing deals,' and/or holding back the economic recovery. These accusations are unfounded and misguided. ... Appraisals are not meant to simply support contracts - they are obtained to help lenders assess their overall risk.
"Fundamentally, it does neither the borrower nor lender any good to enter into a mortgage for more than the value of the property," she said.
Gilbert Valdez, owner of Coast Appraisal Network, has been appraising homes for nearly 30 years. "The biggest misconception is we're out there creating value. We're not," Valdez said recently as he stood outside a Fountain Valley, Calif., tract home with a measuring tape and a camera, ready to begin an appraisal. "We have a mirror. We're going to reflect it exactly the way it is."
Valdez said a home's location typically is given the most weight, followed by size and condition. He noted that upgrades don't necessarily pay off as much as a homeowner may expect. He also said the price gap has been closing between foreclosures and standard sales. Short sales, he said, have been "iffy" and "all over the place," but even short sales are improving.
Ideally, he said, he'll use three sales that closed in recent months, a pending sale and a listing most comparable to the home in question. He stressed the word "ideally."
In the case of Robinson's townhome, the appraiser could not be reached for comment, and it's unclear what adjustments might have been made. The townhome eventually sold, Robinson said, but for about $6,000 less than what she and the buyer initially agreed on.
Appraisers were among those blamed for the housing bubble - and bust. In turn, appraisers said they felt pressured by mortgage brokers to bump up their property valuations, which helped to drive deals and got borrowers bigger loans.
In 2007, then-New York State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo filed a lawsuit against an appraisal company, which led to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac implementing the Home Valuation Code of Conduct of 2009. It required that lenders use a third party, typically an appraisal management company, to arrange for an appraisal. The code of conduct prohibited lenders from speaking directly with the appraiser about the valuation process.
The code was replaced by provisions in the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2010. In addition to working with appraisal management companies, lenders now can set up their own firms. There still are standards to ensure appraisal independence, and the firewall between the lender and the appraiser on any specific appraisal is supposed to remain intact.
Appraisers complain management companies pay them lower fees, and that many appraisers, after seeing their incomes reduced, have left the business.

The Appraisal Institute says on its website: "Today, many lenders utilize third-party management companies to conduct administrative functions. These firms often seek out the lowest-cost service providers, not necessarily the most qualified."
The National Association of Appraisal Management Companies disagrees with that description. George Panichas, president of the association, said while the companies take a cut of what a lender pays for an appraisal, the firms provide services for appraisers including quality-control reviews and marketing, which helps appraisers get more business. "There are many reasons why an appraiser will work for a reduced fee," he said.
He added, "It is undeniable there are a handful of appraisal management companies that will try to grind an appraiser down on fee. (But) the vast majority of appraisal companies, we want to pay the appraiser a good fee because we want a good product."
Stephens, the institute president, also said some appraisers are being required to use eight to 10 comparable homes, more than twice as many as in the past, and appraisers have been sent as far as 400 miles away to evaluate property.
"Having someone who's local ... someone who understands what's going on in the market is key," she told the real estate investors gathered in Yorba Linda.
Panichas said lenders, not the appraisal management companies, are requesting additional comparable homes. And he said appraisers may be sent far distances at times, but they should never accept an assignment unless they're "geographically competent."
Appraising real estate is not a black and white matter. Adjustments need to be weighed. Judgment is involved. Even appraisers don't always agree.
Mortgage broker Dennis Smith cited an appraisal on a small apartment property in Long Beach,Calif. The seller and buyer agreed on a sales price of $730,000. The appraisal came in at $620,000.
Smith said some comparable sales the appraiser used were more than three miles away, and a few were sales dating back more than a year.
The appraisal may have been a challenge, Smith said, "But over $100,000 (lower than) what the seller, listing agent, selling agent and buyer felt the property was worth?"
He found some fresher sales for comparable properties with fewer units, but his appeal was rejected.
"So we canceled with that lender and went to another lender and ordered a new appraisal," said Smith, co-owner of Stratis Financial in Huntington Beach, Calif. The second appraisal came in at $720,000 - with some of the comparable homes he cited in the appeal.
"Same property, same price, same transaction," Smith said.
The initial appraiser could not be reached for comment.
Realtor Patti Zermeno said she appealed an appraisal of a four-bedroom, three-bath home on more than five acres in Corona, Calif., that she listed this year.
The contract purchase price was for $565,000, but the appraisal came in at $450,000.
"When the numbers came in low, I called (the loan rep) and told her, 'I know there's value there. We need to appeal this appraisal,' " said Zermeno, with Century 21 Award in Rancho Santa Margarita.
She said the lender allowed a second appraisal, which raised the value by $15,000, to $465,000.
That appraisal was still much lower than the contract price. But it didn't kill the deal.
"We were able to close at $500,000 with the seller reducing his price and the buyers increasing their purchase price," Zermeno said.
"It was a team effort to get it done," she said. "But I knew I could fight the appraisal."
In Stephens' view, the appeal process is not always fair to the appraiser.
Sometimes the person reviewing an appraisal for a lender has less experience than the appraiser does, she said.
"It's a matter of asking for more and more information (from an appraiser)," she said, "and less and less weight being placed on that information."
APPRAISAL TIPS:
Here are some tips for consumers from the Appraisal Institute, a professional association:
-Make sure your lender hires a qualified appraiser. Ask the lender for an appraiser's qualifications and whether he or she has a designation from an appraisal organization.
-Accompany the appraiser during the inspection. "Did the appraiser spend enough time at the property to observe important features or improvements or potential problems?"
-Ask for a copy of the appraisal report. "Federal law requires lenders provide routine delivery of the appraisal to consumers whether credit is granted, denied, or the application is withdrawn."
-Examine the appraisal report. "Appraising the Appraisal: The Art of Appraisal Review," says common errors in appraisals include "misuse of adjustments to comparables, disregarding special financing and concessions, or miscalculation of ... living area."
-"Ask yourself: Do adjacent homes add or detract from the value of the subject property? Is the subject property equal to or lower in price than surrounding homes? Does the floor plan have any functional problems? Does the house (particularly the kitchen and bathrooms) require major remodeling to make it comparable with similar homes in the same price range?"
-Appeal the appraisal if you believe it is incorrect, or ask your lender to review the report. Most lenders have appraisal appeal procedures, known as "reconsiderations of value."
-You can ask your lender to order a second appraisal. If problems were found with the first appraisal, you should get a second one.

Read more here: http://www.sacbee.com/2012/11/21/5002063/appraisals-draw-fire-as-housing.html#storylink=cpy
clear skies,
Doug Reynolds
 
www.BHGshortsales.com

Wednesday, November 28, 2012

2012 Sacramento Real Estate = Cash, Cash, Cash!!!


If you've been following my blog and YouTube Videos at all this year then you know sacramento real estate is all about: low inventory, high buyer demand, multiple offers and prices getting bid up.  The reason??  Cash buyers/investors.  They are everywhere and the buyers that need a loan to purchase their home are having a very difficult time competing with the cash buyers.  Here's a Sac Bee article about the subject:
Sacramento Real Estate cash buyers - Doug Reynolds - www.SellWithDoug

Sacramento cash-only home sales hit 10-year high

 

Roughly 37 percent of Sacramento County homes bought last month were purchased with cash and no loan, the highest rate in at least a decade, according to new data from the Sacramento Association of Realtors.
The figures represent another indication that investor activity in the Sacramento real estate market has reached a fever pitch. Most, but not all, homes bought with cash go to investors who don't plan to live in them.
Hundreds of homes recently bought with cash were purchased by Blackstone, the international investment fund, as the Bee reported Sunday.
Investors have focused most of their attention on low- to mid-income neighborhoods where rents remain high but prices remain low.
They've cleared a glut of vacant, bank-owned homes from many neighborhoods and helped drive home values higher. They've also outbid scores of would-be homeowners who want to live where they buy, and played a role in the ongoing shift of tens of thousands of local residents from owner- to renter-occupied homes.
This chart shows the percentage of homes purchased with cash in Sacramento County and West Sacramento during October of each of the last 10 years.

Read more here: http://www.sacbee.com/2012/11/26/5011896/sacramento-cash-home-purchases.html#storylink=cpy
clear skies,
Doug Reynolds
 
www.BHGshortsales.com

Monday, November 26, 2012

Investment firm starts buying hundreds of Homes in Sacramento area


Here's an interesting article that appeared on the front page the Sac Bee, Sunday 11/25/12.  As i've been sharing on this blog and in my YouTube market update videos, the inventory in sacramento is extremely low, the buyer competition is very high and cash buyers are making up 1/3 of the market right now.  This article talks about a huge company that is purchasing homes in Sacramento at lightning speed.  It's almost scary how many properties this company has purchased in such a short period of time.  I recently represented a seller of one of the homes they purchased with cash in a 15 day escrow.  In fact, i have received an offer from these buyers on every single one of my listings since August.  It's buyers like this that are giving the first time buyers a difficult time of getting an accepted offer.  Financed offers have an extremely hard time competing with cash buyers that can close quickly. Give the article a read and let me know what you think.  Is this good or bad for the Sacramento market??  Why??

Big investment firm buys hundreds of houses in Sacramento area

Cash buyer investment company buying up Sacramento homes - Doug Reynolds Real Estate - www.SellWithDoug.com
Published: Sunday, Nov. 25, 2012 - 12:00 am | Page 1A
Last Modified: Sunday, Nov. 25, 2012 - 3:05 pm
An investment firm that owns the Waldorf Astoria hotel and the Weather Channel has bought more than 500 houses in Sacramento in the past few months, betting upward of $60 million that home prices will rise.
Blackstone, a New York-based group with billions of dollars in investments and offices from London to Tokyo, has been snapping up low-priced homes across the region, from Elk Grove to Citrus Heights,at a rate of about 40 a week.
It marks the first time a major investment firm has bought in Sacramento on such a scale – a direct result of the thousands of houses left vacant by foreclosures in recent years and offered at fire-sale prices.
"Prior to the current housing cycle, it was essentially unheard of" for majorinvestment funds to buy single-family homes, said Stuart Gabriel, director of the Ziman Center for Real Estate at UCLA. "The exodus from home ownership and the dislocation of homeowners has been unprecedented."
Experts said the bulk purchase of single-family homes by Blackstone and other big investment firms could have a significant effect on Sacramento neighborhoods, pro and con.
The purchases may boost prices in the short term by clearing out distressed properties and create needed rental housing. But they could also alter neighborhoods once populated by owners rather than renters, and make it more difficult for first-time buyers to compete in today's market.
Whether the entry of such large players is positive or negative depends in large part on how well Blackstone treats its tenants and maintains its piece of suburbia.
"The jury is out in this particular respect," Gabriel said. "There's a lot of asset management involved here. It could be more challenging than they expect."
This year, across the United States, a number of big investment firms have been active in areas hit hard by the housing collapse. Blackstone, one of the largest, says it will spend about $1.5 billion to buy 10,000 homes nationwide with the idea of renting them until prices increase enough to sell.
The firm calls itself the world's largest real estate private equity firm, whose $54 billion in assets includes shopping centers, hotels and office complexes.
But fixing faucets and collecting rent on single-family homes is a new strategy for Blackstone, which owns hotel giant Hilton Worldwide, has a major stake in T-Mobile parent Deutsche Telekom, and frequently partners with Mitt Romney's old firm, Bain Capital.
Blackstone has embraced the plan with gusto.
"It's a long-term investment for us," said Philippa Brown, spokeswoman for Blackstone's new housing division Invitation Homes.
Starting in May, the firm bought about 900 homes in Riverside and San Bernardino counties, Southern California's Inland Empire, which saw a boom-and-bust cycle last decade similar to Sacramento's.

Big player, small prices


Blackstone arrived in Sacramento in August, opening a Roseville office for its purchasing partnership, which operates under the name THR California and includes Invitation Homes.

The company wasted little time in becoming the largest purchasing force in the Sacramento foreclosure market, spending more than $60 million, according to a Bee analysis of county records.
Using local real estate agents, brokers and former house flippers, the company went from owning no homes here in August to owning 250 by mid-October.
House flippers who had to compete against Blackstone's buyers in auctions on courthouse steps began to grouse. They were regularly being outbid.
THR has paid, on average, a roughly 20 percent premium for homes, according to a Bee review of data from Zillow.com. In one case, THR purchased a 1,000-square-foot home in Meadowview for $175,000, or roughly 80 percent more than Zillow estimates the home is worth.
"They're betting on appreciation," said Eric Peterson, managing director of Praxis Capital, a house-flipping and property management firm in midtown Sacramento. Blackstone's attitude, Peterson said, is "'I don't really care what I pay today, because I think it's going to be double that five years from now. Ten grand's not going to affect my return that much.'
"We don't necessarily disagree with their thesis, but our appetite for risk is much lower than theirs," Peterson said.
As of last week, tax records showed THR California owned 510 houses in Sacramento County. The firm added about 40 properties a week during the last three months – one in every 10 houses sold in Sacramento County in that period.
More recently, Blackstone has sped up the pace. During the first three weeks of November, the Sacramento County recorder's office showed THR bought 145 properties, almost 50 per week.
THR California also bought 22 homes in Yolo County, 21 in Placer County and one in El Dorado County during the past three months, according to official records.
Most of the houses THR has acquired are relatively small, between 1,000 square feet and 1,800 square feet, and cost from $75,000 to $200,000. They are located mainly in distressed areas – such as North Highlands, Rancho Cordova and Galt – where sales prices have plummeted but rents remain relatively high, creating quick cash-flow opportunities.
In South and North Natomas, the company has purchased about 50 homes. The Bee visited a dozen last week. Some were dilapidated, with paint peeling and dead grass in the yard. Some were being fixed up by contractors with new carpet and sod. Others were neat and trim, with fresh paintwork and appliances, ready for new tenants.
Only one had a tenant in residence.
At his house on Regatta Drive in the city's Northgate neighborhood, John Coaxum, 50, gripped two eviction notices he had received from THR California.
Coaxum, whose rent is subsidized by Section 8, said he had lived in the house for 14 years and done much of the landscaping himself. His landlords used to be a local couple, but they lost the house to foreclosure.
When THR bought it from the bank, the company wanted more money, which he didn't have, he said. Coaxum said he called the company's number in Roseville and left messages but had not heard back.
Now he was facing the prospect of being tossed out.
"I'm not scared, I'm terrified," Coaxum said. "I raised all my kids here. I love my neighborhood. I have no delinquency. I don't know what's going down."
THR California has not yet filed any "unlawful detainer" lawsuits in Sacramento Superior Court to force the eviction of tenants. But in Riverside and San Bernardino counties, where the company has been active a few months longer, THR California has filed more than 125 such lawsuits, court records show.

Tenants and toilets


Dealing with tenants in single-family homes is sure to pose challenges, even for a multi-billion-dollar behemoth.

It will be difficult to rehabilitate 500 houses in short order, Peterson said, and keeping them up won't be easy, either. Praxis manages 80 rental homes, and the coordinator's phone rings off the hook with complaints of leaking roofs and broken toilets, he said.
Profit margins that look great on paper can end up being offset by tenant and maintenance headaches.
"It's a lot to handle," he said.
That's why Blackstone's Invitation Homes has contracted with Riverstone Residential Group, one of the nation's largest managers of apartment complexes. The two companies now share an address in Dallas.
"We want our customers to be happy," said Invitation's Brown. "Those are their homes."
Brown, who just began her job two weeks ago with the startup company, said she could not answer questions about the Sacramento market or individual tenants. She referred questions about property management to Riverstone. Riverstone, in turn, referred all questions back to Brown.
Ryan Lundquist, a local property appraiser, said that how the properties are managed remains a crucial question. By purchasing en masse, Blackstone is helping boost neighborhood property values, but increasing the number of rentals is potentially destabilizing, Lundquist said.
Whether the properties are kept up and rented to good tenants will affect values of neighboring homes, he said.
In Elk Grove, where Blackstone has bought about 40 houses, newly elected Mayor Gary Davis said he shares those concerns. He also worries about a future hit on home prices if Blackstone decides to sell its holdings all at once.
And he said the company's spending spree could squeeze out local residents who are trying to buy homes at today's low prices and interest rates.
"We have residents who are finally able to buy their first home or get back into a home after renting for a while," Davis said.
"When they have to compete with national investment companies," he said, "it makes it hard for residents to get a foot in the door and get their house."
Citrus Heights Mayor Jeff Slowey had a different take.
Blackstone's purchase of about 60 homes in Citrus Heights and surrounding communities is a good sign for local homeowners, he said. By investing, Slowey said, Blackstone is saying "they think it's a good market, and it's going to turn around." © Copyright The Sacramento Bee. 
clear skies,
Doug Reynolds
 
www.BHGshortsales.com