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Thursday, April 4, 2013

2013 Sacramento Real Estate market Analysis


Here's a great blog article i just read that was written by an excellent local appraiser.  Ryan Lundquist does appraisals all over the Sacramento area and writes a phenomenal blog (http://sacramentoappraisalblog.com )  Give his article below a read if you are wanting some great info on the current Sacramento Real Estate Market.

Tour de Sacramento real estate in 2013

One of the best trips I ever took was a European backpacking vacation after graduating college. A friend and I traveled through England, France and Scotland for two weeks, and it was simply incredible. In fact, I hope to get back there again in a couple of years as my wife and I have begun talking about doing something big for our 15th anniversary.
Unfortunately my wallet is not thick enough to take every blog reader to Europe today, but I can give you a “Tour de Sacramento” so to speak. Let’s make four quick stops to uncover some of the real estate trends during the first quarter of 2013.
Stop 1: Distressed Sales
Over the past year the market has seen a significant downturn in foreclosure sales. Bank-owned sales essentially have decreased by 20% since the first quarter of 2012, whereas short sales had been seeing an increase until this past quarter.
Distressed Sales in Sacramento County Foreclosures and Short Sales Graph - by Sacramento Appraisal Blog
The market has persisted to gain health as the total percentage of distressed sales has seen a decrease yet again over the past quarter. However, it’s also noteworthy that inventory has been at its lowest point in years.
Distressed Sales in Sacramento County - by Sacramento Appraisal Blog
Stop 2: The Cash Factor
Cash purchases have generally been up in 2013 so far. There are rumors of certain investment funds slowing down their purchasing, but the market is clearly still saturated with investors.
Graph of Cash sales in Sacramento Placer Yolo County 2012 and 2013 - by Sacramento Appraisal Blog
The stats below consider all single family detached sales in Sacramento, Placer & Yolo County. It’s amazing to see that 36.28% of all single family detached sales in Sacramento County were cash. However, when considering all single family sales including condos and halfplexes, 39.06% of all sales were cash in Q1 of 2013.
Cash sales in Sacramento Placer Yolo County 2012 and 2013 - by Sacramento Appraisal Blog
Stop 3: The Breakdown of Buyers
One out of every two sales under $200,000 in Sacramento County has been a cash purchase lately. No, that’s not a typo. It’s no wonder why financed offers have had to be more creative in hopes of getting an offer accepted. It’s become increasingly more common to see buyers make offers above list price, ask for no credits from the seller, offer to pay a certain amount above the appraised value or even remove appraisal contingencies altogether. Yikes! FHA offers saw a slight decrease, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see that persist so long as the climate of low inventory and high-volume cash persists.
Q1 Sacramento real estate stats - cash conventional fha - by Sacramento Appraisal Blog
Stop 4: Unemployment in Sacramento County
Unemployment dropped to 9.5% in Sacramento County as of February 2013. As you can see in graphs below, the jobless rate has overall been trending downward in Sacramento, California and the United States. For reference, the unemployment rate in California right now is 9.6% and the national unemployment rate is 7.7%.
February 2013 unemployment Sacramento County - graph by Sacramento Appraisal Blog
1990 - 2013 - February 2013 unemployment Sacramento County - graph by Sacramento Appraisal Blog
Unemployment in US CA and Sacramento 1990 - 2013 - February 2013 - graph by Sacramento Appraisal Blog



clear skies,
Doug Reynolds
 
www.BHGshortsales.com

2 comments:

  1. Hello
    Can you make money in real estate investing in a down market? Absolutely, if you do it right. Don't let all the gloom in the news scare you. Smart investors are still making great money. Read on to find how? Read more at-market analysis real estate

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hello
    Can you make money in real estate investing in a down market? Absolutely, if you do it right. Don't let all the gloom in the news scare you. Smart investors are still making great money. Read on to find how? Read more at-market analysis real estate

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete